If you order the auction dollar values from most expensive to least expensive, then overlay them on the player selection order in a draft, you get a dollar value for each (more…)
Posted in Auction, Data, Draft, Looking Back, Prices
Votto: Keeping a good eye on the base on balls.
Tout Wars Weekend is coming up, which means (more…)
Rudy Gamble is running a series on player valuation over at Razzball.com, and he has lots of interesting things to say. One of the reasons for that is because he’s inquiring. He’s doing that most interesting thing, to me anyway, of trying to figure it out in public. The piece (more…)
This past week I participated in two NL-only roto mock drafts. Yes, drafts.
The beauty of a draft is that there is only one path to the promised land. Select the best player available for your team, from the next 12 players to be taken.
A 12-team NL-only draft should (more…)
I’ve been writing this week about some comparisons I was making with 2013 pitching metrics and 2014 data.
One strong takeaway was an indication that fantasy owners weren’t valuing pitchers with low walk rates enough. Details here.
(more…)Posted in Data, Projections
FanGraphs posted a fantasy auction calculator today, or maybe they posted it yesterday. I found it today.
Enter your league parameters and it will give you dollar values for the (more…)
Posted in Auction, Basics, Prices, Projections
Yesterday we ran correlations between various pitching metrics and fantasy baseball profits for pitchers, and found that most of the ways we evaluate pitchers—like strikeouts and ERA—influence a pitcher’s cost so much that they don’t help us predict profits.
But we did discover (more…)
Posted in Data, Math, Prices, Projections
After I finished my look at correlation between 2013 pitching stats and 2014 fantasy baseball profits, I just had to look at which pitchers might bubble up this year because of their low walk rates last year.
Hisashi Iwakuma, Jordan Zimmerman, Doug Fister, (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Projections
My buddy Mike Salfino, who writes about baseball (both real and fantasy) at the Wall Street Journal and Yahoo!, loves (K-BB)/IP to evaluate pitchers, and to find those delightfully undervalued arms that help teams (both real and fantasy) win.
I like (K-BB)/IP, too, but in talking about it I (more…)
Posted in Data, Looking Back, Prices
I was on Baseball Prospectus’s Flags Fly Forever podcast last night, with Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio, talking about first baseman rankings, among other things. We had way too much fun with it, and what was scheduled for an hour lasted two, and I don’t think we (more…)
Posted in Uncategorized
PattonandCo.com: Talk Baseball Players Now
Projecting X is Mike Podhorzer's excellent description of how he makes his very successful player projections. You can learn more about it at projectingx.com.
